Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.004199 0.004413 0.004631 0.004873 0.005133 0.005405 0.005711
2025-11-23 0.003830 0.004144 0.004479 0.004866 0.005301 0.005779 0.006345
2025-11-30 0.003555 0.003919 0.004320 0.004795 0.005348 0.005976 0.006748
2025-12-07 0.003349 0.003747 0.004194 0.004737 0.005386 0.006143 0.007103
2025-12-14 0.003207 0.003634 0.004123 0.004729 0.005470 0.006356 0.007513
2025-12-21 0.003015 0.003450 0.003955 0.004591 0.005382 0.006348 0.007639
2025-12-28 0.002925 0.003380 0.003916 0.004603 0.005474 0.006561 0.008050
2026-01-04 0.002863 0.003340 0.003910 0.004652 0.005611 0.006831 0.008548
2026-01-11 0.002769 0.003256 0.003845 0.004621 0.005639 0.006960 0.008859
2026-01-18 0.002694 0.003192 0.003800 0.004612 0.005694 0.007123 0.009220
2026-01-25 0.002613 0.003116 0.003737 0.004576 0.005708 0.007228 0.009504
2026-02-01 0.002587 0.003109 0.003760 0.004652 0.005876 0.007550 0.010118
2026-02-08 0.002514 0.003039 0.003701 0.004617 0.005891 0.007659 0.010426
2026-02-15 0.002456 0.002988 0.003664 0.004610 0.005943 0.007825 0.010830
2026-02-22 0.002379 0.002909 0.003587 0.004545 0.005909 0.007860 0.011031
2026-03-01 0.002312 0.002840 0.003521 0.004491 0.005888 0.007913 0.011260
2026-03-08 0.002265 0.002797 0.003489 0.004484 0.005933 0.008064 0.011656
2026-03-15 0.002176 0.002696 0.003374 0.004356 0.005795 0.007931 0.011571
2026-03-22 0.002143 0.002668 0.003359 0.004367 0.005864 0.008117 0.012035
2026-03-29 0.002123 0.002658 0.003367 0.004413 0.005984 0.008389 0.012662
2026-04-05 0.002079 0.002612 0.003325 0.004384 0.005990 0.008478 0.012973
2026-04-12 0.002043 0.002579 0.003298 0.004375 0.006027 0.008618 0.013382
2026-04-19 0.002001 0.002534 0.003255 0.004342 0.006022 0.008688 0.013670